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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Exeter City

Lincoln
1 - 0
Exeter

Taylor (67')
Sorensen (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sweeney (17'), Harris (56'), Jules (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Exeter City

 A Lincoln unit renowned for keeping things tight at the back will welcome the visit of one of League One's least prolific attacking contingents, although Exeter have often found their best shooting boots away from home rather than at St James Park. Three of the last four meetings between the two sides have ended in a 1-1 draw, and a contest as close as the table would suggest should also unfold on Saturday, where another low-scoring stalemate is not beyond the realm of possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
40.35% (-0.188 -0.19) 27.32% (0.334 0.33) 32.33% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.31% (-1.051 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-1.314 -1.31)56.12% (1.316 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-1.076 -1.08)77.18% (1.078 1.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.71600000000001 -0.72)27.26% (0.718 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (-0.944 -0.94)62.7% (0.945 0.95)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.76899999999999 -0.77)32.2% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.883 -0.88)68.69% (0.88399999999999 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.35%
    Exeter City 32.33%
    Draw 27.31%
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.436 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.292 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Exeter

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
10.0%
Exeter City
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
1-1
Lincoln
Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')
Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
2-1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
O'Connor (19')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Exeter
0-3
Lincoln

Stockley (13'), Taylor (22'), Martin (45'), Martin (74'), Boateng (90')
Frecklington (43'), Akinde (45'), Brown (56' og.)
Andrade (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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