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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Exeter City

Lincoln
1 - 0
Exeter

Taylor (67')
Sorensen (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sweeney (17'), Harris (56'), Jules (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-3 Derby
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Exeter City

 A Lincoln unit renowned for keeping things tight at the back will welcome the visit of one of League One's least prolific attacking contingents, although Exeter have often found their best shooting boots away from home rather than at St James Park. Three of the last four meetings between the two sides have ended in a 1-1 draw, and a contest as close as the table would suggest should also unfold on Saturday, where another low-scoring stalemate is not beyond the realm of possibility. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 32.33% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.92%).

Result
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
40.35% (-0.188 -0.19) 27.32% (0.334 0.33) 32.33% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 49.31% (-1.051 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.88% (-1.314 -1.31)56.12% (1.316 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (-1.076 -1.08)77.18% (1.078 1.08)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.71600000000001 -0.72)27.26% (0.718 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (-0.944 -0.94)62.7% (0.945 0.95)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (-0.76899999999999 -0.77)32.2% (0.772 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (-0.883 -0.88)68.69% (0.88399999999999 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.35%
    Exeter City 32.33%
    Draw 27.31%
Lincoln CityDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.436 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 9.95% (0.292 0.29)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 32.33%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Exeter

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
10.0%
Exeter City
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
1-1
Lincoln
Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')
Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')
> Preview
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Exeter
2-1
Lincoln
Nombe (33', 73')
O'Connor (19')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Hopper (49')
Sorensen (90+2')
Nombe (14')
Sweeney (32'), Dieng (58')
Feb 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
1-1
Exeter
Akinde (96')
Bostwick (53'), Bolger (87'), Rhead (90')
Jay (22')
Pym (92')
Sep 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 6
Exeter
0-3
Lincoln

Stockley (13'), Taylor (22'), Martin (45'), Martin (74'), Boateng (90')
Frecklington (43'), Akinde (45'), Brown (56' og.)
Andrade (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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