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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Port Vale

Lincoln
1 - 1
Port Vale

Shodipo (90+3')
O'Connor (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garrity (34')
Arblaster (26'), Garrity (69')
Arblaster (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Port Vale

With Port Vale winless in four away league games, the visitors will be desperate to claim all three points on Saturday, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side that are unbeaten in the last four head-to-head home meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
42.58%26.59%30.83%
Both teams to score 50.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.22%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36%59.64%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.5%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 42.58%
    Port Vale 30.83%
    Draw 26.59%
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Lincoln
3-2
Port Vale
Sorensen (11'), House (42'), Jackson (87')
Taylor (30' pen.), Butterworth (33')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
McCartan (58')
Eardley (43')
Oyeleke (90')
Kay (17'), Joyce (36'), Clark (43'), Hannant (47')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Port Vale
2-6
Lincoln
Conlon (51'), Whitfield (90' pen.)
Legge (45'), Miller (56')
Anderson (3'), McCartan (38'), Legge (45' og.), Bostwick (48'), Wharton (78'), Wilson (84')
Wilson (60')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
0-4
Lincoln

Dodds (17'), Montano (35')
Shackell (5'), Green (48' pen.), O'Connor (80'), Akinde (82')
Rhead (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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