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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Port Vale

Lincoln
1 - 1
Port Vale

Shodipo (90+3')
O'Connor (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garrity (34')
Arblaster (26'), Garrity (69')
Arblaster (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Port Vale

With Port Vale winless in four away league games, the visitors will be desperate to claim all three points on Saturday, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side that are unbeaten in the last four head-to-head home meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
42.58%26.59%30.83%
Both teams to score 50.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.22%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36%59.64%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.5%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 42.58%
    Port Vale 30.83%
    Draw 26.59%
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Lincoln
3-2
Port Vale
Sorensen (11'), House (42'), Jackson (87')
Taylor (30' pen.), Butterworth (33')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
McCartan (58')
Eardley (43')
Oyeleke (90')
Kay (17'), Joyce (36'), Clark (43'), Hannant (47')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Port Vale
2-6
Lincoln
Conlon (51'), Whitfield (90' pen.)
Legge (45'), Miller (56')
Anderson (3'), McCartan (38'), Legge (45' og.), Bostwick (48'), Wharton (78'), Wilson (84')
Wilson (60')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
0-4
Lincoln

Dodds (17'), Montano (35')
Shackell (5'), Green (48' pen.), O'Connor (80'), Akinde (82')
Rhead (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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