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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Peterborough United

Port Vale
0 - 1
Peterborough


Garrity (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Peterborough United

Peterborough have picked up victories on their last two trips to Vale Park, and with the Valiants experiencing a poor run of form, we think that Posh will claim another away victory over Port Vale on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
34.93% (0.47799999999999 0.48) 24.81% (-0.012 -0.01) 40.25% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (0.14899999999999 0.15)45.01% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (0.144 0.14)67.36% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.34700000000001 0.35)25.11% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.477 0.48)59.81% (-0.476 -0.48)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.161 -0.16)22.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.244 -0.24)55.77% (0.245 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.94%
    Peterborough United 40.25%
    Draw 24.81%
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.94%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.25%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Peterborough

Port Vale
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Peterborough United
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2023 8pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-3
Port Vale
Taylor (2'), Williams (41')
Baldwin (45'), Bostwick (72')
Moore (49'), Hooper (86'), Dodds (89')
Grant (55'), O'Connor (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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