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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Peterborough United

Port Vale
0 - 1
Peterborough


Garrity (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Peterborough United

Peterborough have picked up victories on their last two trips to Vale Park, and with the Valiants experiencing a poor run of form, we think that Posh will claim another away victory over Port Vale on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
34.93% (0.47799999999999 0.48) 24.81% (-0.012 -0.01) 40.25% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 58.18% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (0.14899999999999 0.15)45.01% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (0.144 0.14)67.36% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.34700000000001 0.35)25.11% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.477 0.48)59.81% (-0.476 -0.48)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (-0.161 -0.16)22.3% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.23% (-0.244 -0.24)55.77% (0.245 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 34.94%
    Peterborough United 40.25%
    Draw 24.81%
Port ValeDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.072 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.94%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.25%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Peterborough

Port Vale
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Peterborough United
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2023 8pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Peterborough
3-0
Port Vale
Clarke-Harris (26', 36'), Ward (73')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-3
Peterborough

Smith (11'), Pugh (73')
Maddison (20'), Morias (90', 95')
Da Silva Lopes (57'), Edwards (58'), Nichols (75')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-2
Port Vale
Moncur (8', 84')
da Silva Lopes (57'), Bostwick (73'), Taylor (95')
Hughes (94')
Jones (6', 94')
Grant (14'), Paterson (45'), Jones (58')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
2-3
Port Vale
Taylor (2'), Williams (41')
Baldwin (45'), Bostwick (72')
Moore (49'), Hooper (86'), Dodds (89')
Grant (55'), O'Connor (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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