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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Oxford United

Morecambe
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Hunter (87')
Major (4'), Simeu (67'), Crowley (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Browne (41')
Browne (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-4 Charlton
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Oxford United

Both sides are in poor veins of form, and neither can afford to lose this crucial match, so we think both teams will play it safe. There is not a lot to split both sides, so we can see the spoils being shared in a tightly-contested affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawOxford United
28.59% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 24.59% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 46.82% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (0.057000000000002 0.06)46.42% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (0.053000000000001 0.05)68.7% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.060999999999993 0.06)29.88% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.073 0.07)65.97% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (0.012 0.01)52.04% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.59%
    Oxford United 46.82%
    Draw 24.58%
MorecambeDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.58%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.04%
0-3 @ 4.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Oxford Utd

Morecambe
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Oxford United
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Morecambe
Joseph (56')
Rodriguez (89'), Brown (90+7')
Weir (48')
Stockton (51'), Fane (70'), Rawson (79'), Connolly (89+1')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Morecambe
Seddon (29'), Sykes (73'), Taylor (87')
Stockton (64')
Andersson (51')
Feb 13, 2016 3pm
Morecambe
2-4
Oxford Utd
Molyneux (23'), Barkhuizen (91')
Ellison (45'), Edwards (90')
Miller (70')
Roofe (9'), Lundstram (71'), Hylton (74'), Bowery (80')
Mullins (37'), MacDonald (45')
Sep 26, 2015 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814


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