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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
64.43% ( 0.03) | 21.35% ( -0.01) | 14.22% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.26% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.69% ( 0.02) | 50.31% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% ( 0.02) | 72.25% ( -0.02) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.08% ( 0.02) | 14.92% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.69% ( 0.03) | 43.31% ( -0.03) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.2% ( -0) | 46.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.66% ( -0) | 82.34% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 64.42% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.18% Total : 14.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 57 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 55 |
3 | Wrexham | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 48 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 42 |
7 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 41 |
8 | Reading | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 40 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 37 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 34 |
15 | Stevenage | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 34 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 33 |
17 | Exeter CityExeter | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 32 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
21 | Burton Albion | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 21 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 21 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 21 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 20 |
> League One Full Table |