Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.