League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd1 - 3Plymouth
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Plymouth Argyle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
42.58% ( -1.79) | 25.21% ( -0.08) | 32.2% ( 1.86) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( 1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( 1.06) | 47.47% ( -1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% ( 0.97) | 69.68% ( -0.98) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.38) | 22.24% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.33% ( -0.58) | 55.67% ( 0.58) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( 1.77) | 27.95% ( -1.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.42% ( 2.2) | 63.58% ( -2.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Oxford United 42.58%
Plymouth Argyle 32.2%
Draw 25.21%
| Oxford United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.49)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.21)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.81% Total : 32.2% |
How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Plymouth
Oxford United
14.8%Draw
14.8%Plymouth Argyle
70.4%27
Form Guide
