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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Oxford United

MK Dons
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Kaikai (25')
Maghoma (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bate (71')
Fleming (13'), Brannagan (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 0-2 Oxford United

We believe that Oxford will put an end to the poor form that they have suffered as of late and will find a more clinical edge to their performance as they have not suffered from a lack of ability to create goalscoring situations. MK Dons will set up well, however, a lack of ability to highly threaten Oxford's goal could leave them unstuck in this contest and therefore we think that this contest will end 2-0 in the away side's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawOxford United
43.13% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 25.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 31.04% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (0.038999999999998 0.04)72.47% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.0040000000000049 0)57.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.051999999999992 0.05)30.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)66.43% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 43.13%
    Oxford United 31.04%
    Draw 25.82%
MK DonsDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.13%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.04%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Oxford Utd

MK Dons
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Oxford United
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
MK Dons
Mousinho (89')
Smith (44'), Grigg (84' pen.)
McEachran (59')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
MK Dons
Bodin (86')
McNally (43'), Taylor (90+1'), (90+3'), Brannagan (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Oxford Utd
Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')
Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Oxford Utd
Surman (13')
Mason (48'), Fisher (84'), Gladwin (90'), Laird (90+3')
Lee (90+7')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
MK Dons
Taylor (6'), Long (58'), Shodipo (88')
Henry (45+4'), Taylor (82')
Jerome (11'), Gladwin (90+2')
Kasumu (19'), Houghton (37'), Lewington (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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