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League One
MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Oxford United

MK Dons
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Kaikai (25')
Maghoma (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bate (71')
Fleming (13'), Brannagan (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 0-2 Oxford United

 We believe that Oxford will put an end to the poor form that they have suffered as of late and will find a more clinical edge to their performance as they have not suffered from a lack of ability to create goalscoring situations. MK Dons will set up well, however, a lack of ability to highly threaten Oxford's goal could leave them unstuck in this contest and therefore we think that this contest will end 2-0 in the away side's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawOxford United
43.13% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 25.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 31.04% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (0.038999999999998 0.04)72.47% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.0040000000000049 0)57.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.051999999999992 0.05)30.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)66.43% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 43.13%
    Oxford United 31.04%
    Draw 25.82%
MK DonsDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.13%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.04%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Oxford Utd

MK Dons
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Oxford United
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
MK Dons
Mousinho (89')
Smith (44'), Grigg (84' pen.)
McEachran (59')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
MK Dons
Bodin (86')
McNally (43'), Taylor (90+1'), (90+3'), Brannagan (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Oxford Utd
Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')
Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Oxford Utd
Surman (13')
Mason (48'), Fisher (84'), Gladwin (90'), Laird (90+3')
Lee (90+7')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
MK Dons
Taylor (6'), Long (58'), Shodipo (88')
Henry (45+4'), Taylor (82')
Jerome (11'), Gladwin (90+2')
Kasumu (19'), Houghton (37'), Lewington (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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