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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Northampton
1 - 1
Charlton

Appere (80')
Simpson (33'), Brough (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (4')
Coventry (71'), Edmonds-Green (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Charlton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Charlton would have taken a lot of confidence from Tuesday's win over Derby, but we think that they may have to settle for a draw against a Northampton side that has lost just one of their last seven home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
41.89% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 24.99% (0.004999999999999 0) 33.11% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)46.24% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.023 -0.02)68.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.04% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.37% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.78% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)62.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 41.89%
    Charlton Athletic 33.11%
    Draw 24.99%
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.89%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.11%

How you voted: Northampton vs Charlton

Northampton Town
0.0%
Draw
26.3%
Charlton Athletic
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Charlton
2-3
Northampton
McGowan (20' og.), Watson (45+3')
Edun (32'), Ladapo (58'), Bakinson (69'), Coventry (71')
Edun (86')
Simpson (7'), Hoskins (22'), Appere (90+7')
Hoskins (25'), Bowie (89')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Charlton
2-1
Northampton
Washington (64' pen., 85')
Morgan (44'), Watson (82'), Aneke (90+5')
Jones (90+3')
Kioso (40'), Edmondson (70'), Horsfall (90+5')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Northampton
0-2
Charlton

Racic (11'), Harriman (65'), Hoskins (81')
Pratley (54'), Sowerby (59' og.)
Forster-Caskey (82')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-4
Charlton

Moloney (34'), McWilliams (43'), Crooks (87'), Pereira (90')
Reeves (14'), Fosu (19', 51'), Magennis (79')
Pearce (71')
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Charlton
4-1
Northampton
Magennis (2'), Holmes (61'), Forster-Caskey (94', 97')
Forster-Caskey (75'), Pearce (92')
Richards (79')
Pierre (49'), Crooks (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120


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