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League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Northampton
1 - 1
Charlton

Appere (80')
Simpson (33'), Brough (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (4')
Coventry (71'), Edmonds-Green (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Charlton
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Charlton Athletic

Charlton would have taken a lot of confidence from Tuesday's win over Derby, but we think that they may have to settle for a draw against a Northampton side that has lost just one of their last seven home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
41.89% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 24.99% (0.004999999999999 0) 33.11% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)46.24% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (-0.023 -0.02)68.53% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)22.04% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.62% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)55.37% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.78% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)62.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 41.89%
    Charlton Athletic 33.11%
    Draw 24.99%
Northampton TownDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 8.93% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.89%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.11%

How you voted: Northampton vs Charlton

Northampton Town
0.0%
Draw
26.3%
Charlton Athletic
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Charlton
2-3
Northampton
McGowan (20' og.), Watson (45+3')
Edun (32'), Ladapo (58'), Bakinson (69'), Coventry (71')
Edun (86')
Simpson (7'), Hoskins (22'), Appere (90+7')
Hoskins (25'), Bowie (89')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Charlton
2-1
Northampton
Washington (64' pen., 85')
Morgan (44'), Watson (82'), Aneke (90+5')
Jones (90+3')
Kioso (40'), Edmondson (70'), Horsfall (90+5')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Northampton
0-2
Charlton

Racic (11'), Harriman (65'), Hoskins (81')
Pratley (54'), Sowerby (59' og.)
Forster-Caskey (82')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-4
Charlton

Moloney (34'), McWilliams (43'), Crooks (87'), Pereira (90')
Reeves (14'), Fosu (19', 51'), Magennis (79')
Pearce (71')
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Charlton
4-1
Northampton
Magennis (2'), Holmes (61'), Forster-Caskey (94', 97')
Forster-Caskey (75'), Pearce (92')
Richards (79')
Pierre (49'), Crooks (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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