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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Northampton Town

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Northampton

Murphy (6'), Goodwin (81')
Rodrigues (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hondermarck (35'), Springett (90+2')
Hondermarck (74'), Simpson (78'), Pinnock (82'), Hoskins (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Northampton Town

Oxford have rediscovered their form from earlier in the season under Buckingham, and they always carry a significant threat in attack. Northampton are a more solid outfit and will provide stubborn resistance. However, we expect Oxford's quality to shine through in the end, even if they may have to be patient to find a winner. Doing so would be a big step towards finishing inside the top six, while making a serious dent in their opponents' aspirations of achieving similar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
60.17% (-0.105 -0.1) 21.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 18.05% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)45.37% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.7% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)14.65% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-0.105 -0.11)42.79% (0.104 0.1)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)38.83% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44% (0.038 0.04)75.56% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 60.16%
    Northampton Town 18.05%
    Draw 21.78%
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 60.16%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Northampton

Oxford United
76.7%
Draw
10.0%
Northampton Town
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Northampton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Bowie (50'), Simpson (90+7')
Brough (66'), Simpson (90+8')
Brannagan (62' pen.)
Brown (90+2')
Sep 5, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Simpson (4' pen.)
McWilliams (32'), McGowan (58')
Dyche (76')
Harris (15' pen., 61'), Edwards (48')
Murphy (44')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Northampton
Taylor (49', 89'), Shodipo (65'), Agyei (90+3')
Kelly (72'), Taylor (90+6')

Holmes (44')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Northampton
Henry (24')
Henry (26')
Van Veen (55'), Pierre (65')
Bowditch (26'), Pierre (26'), O'Toole (26'), Facey (29'), van Veen (32')
O'Toole (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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