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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Northampton Town

Burton Albion
0 - 2
Northampton

FT(HT: 0-2)
Leonard (22'), Pinnock (36')
Moulden (47'), Leonard (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Northampton
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Northampton Town

Both teams will head into Saturday's game with renewed confidence thanks to recent results, and while the visitors have enjoyed the better campaign and boast the stronger squad, Burton Albion are certainly improving and should have enough to earn a share of the points on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Northampton Town has a probability of 30.53% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Northampton Town win is 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.29%).

Result
Burton AlbionDrawNorthampton Town
43.61% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 30.53% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.17% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)50.85% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.26% (-0.081 -0.08)72.74% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)23.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)57.1% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)30.76% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)67.03% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 43.6%
    Northampton Town 30.53%
    Draw 25.85%
Burton AlbionDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35%
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 43.6%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.14% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.42% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.53%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Northampton

Burton Albion
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Northampton Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Northampton
2-0
Burton Albion
Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Northampton
Akins (4', 41' pen.), Edwards (31')
D'Ath (53')
Taylor (78'), Cresswell (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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