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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Portsmouth |
47.39% ( 0.03) | 23.65% ( -0.01) | 28.96% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.63% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.03% ( 0.04) | 41.96% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.63% ( 0.04) | 64.37% ( -0.04) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% ( 0.03) | 17.92% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.27% ( 0.05) | 48.73% ( -0.05) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% ( 0.01) | 27.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% ( 0.01) | 62.81% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Portsmouth |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 47.39% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 26 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
24 | Burton Albion | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
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