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League One
Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
Burton Albion

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Burton Albion

Yengi (45+3' pen., 63')
Peart-Harris (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brayford (80')
Helm (14'), Brayford (24'), Crocombe (34'), Carayol (83'), Sweeney (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Portsmouth 3-1 Burton Albion

 Burton have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent away games, but we think that their four-game unbeaten away run will ultimately come to an end against a Portsmouth side that has recorded four consecutive home victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBurton Albion
64.99% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 20.42% (-0.061 -0.06) 14.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.01% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.25% (0.201 0.2)45.74% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (0.191 0.19)68.06% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (0.082999999999998 0.08)13.29% (-0.089 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.176 0.18)40.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52% (0.087000000000003 0.09)43.47% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (0.072000000000003 0.07)79.69% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 64.98%
    Burton Albion 14.58%
    Draw 20.42%
PortsmouthDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 64.98%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.42%
0-1 @ 4.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 14.58%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Burton Albion

Portsmouth
85.5%
Draw
10.9%
Burton Albion
3.6%
55
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Burton Albion
0-2
Portsmouth

Baah (19'), Seddon (71')
Seddon (90')
Bishop (38' pen.), Robertson (63')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Portsmouth
1-0
Burton Albion
Scarlett (90+2')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Burton Albion
0-2
Portsmouth
Hughes (59' og.), Bishop (87')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Portsmouth
2-1
Burton Albion
Raggett (33'), Jacobs (41')
Raggett (5'), Curtis (34')
Ahadme (50')
Mancienne (18'), Powell (29'), Taylor (47'), Chapman (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Burton Albion
2-1
Portsmouth
O'Connor (32'), Jebbison (60')
Smith (36'), Lakin (49'), Jebbison (63')
Hackett-Fairchild (64')
Raggett (83'), Brown (85'), Hackett-Fairchild (86'), Harness (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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