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Championship header 2

League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
MK Dons

Port Vale
1 - 0
MK Dons

A (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League One clash between Port Vale and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Port Vale
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawMK Dons
49.03% (0.055999999999997 0.06)26.29% (-0.026 -0.03)24.68% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.75% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1% (0.073 0.07)55.9% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99% (0.058 0.06)77.01% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (0.057000000000002 0.06)22.85% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (0.083999999999996 0.08)56.58% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.9% (0.011000000000003 0.01)38.1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 49.03%
    MK Dons 24.68%
    Draw 26.29%
Port ValeDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 49.03%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 24.68%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-1
Port Vale
Johnson (34', 85')
Tucker (90+2')
Harrison (90+3')
Harrison (53')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
MK Dons
0-1
Port Vale
Worrall (20')
Joyce (71')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Port Vale
Wheeler (52')
Conlon (48')
Crookes (49'), Conlon (51'), Brown (98')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Port Vale
0-2
MK Dons

Smith (45'), Pope (57'), Conlon (86')
Aneke (23'), Agard (31')
Gilbey (87')
Mar 25, 2017 3pm
Port Vale
0-0
MK Dons

Smith (42'), Kiko (45'), Bikey (84'), Taylor (87')

Williams (20'), Baldock (35')