League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale1 - 0Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Port Vale 1-1 Exeter City
Both sides are finding wins hard to come by, and with just two points separating them in the league table, we think that a close-fought contest will result in the spoils being shared. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
41.19% ( -0.03) | 26.84% ( 0.01) | 31.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
