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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 11
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
MK Dons

Lincoln
1 - 1
MK Dons

Mandroiu (5')
House (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maghoma (89')
Jules (39'), Leko (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 MK Dons

MK Dons will be determined to return to winning ways as they bid to move out of the relegation zone, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side who are yet to lose a home league game this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
48.38% (-0.412 -0.41) 26.34% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 25.29% (0.364 0.36)
Both teams to score 48.15% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (0.073 0.07)55.67% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (0.059000000000001 0.06)76.82% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.155 -0.16)23.05% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (-0.229 -0.23)56.87% (0.234 0.23)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.57% (0.363 0.36)37.44% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.352 0.35)74.23% (-0.348 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 48.37%
    MK Dons 25.29%
    Draw 26.34%
Lincoln CityDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.29% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 48.37%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.63% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.48% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: Lincoln vs MK Dons

Lincoln City
61.3%
Draw
32.3%
MK Dons
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-3
MK Dons
O'Hora (4' og.), Maguire (8' pen.)
McGrandles (43'), Bridcutt (60'), Eyoma (81'), Maguire (90+2')
Twine (60', 90'), O'Riley (75')
Twine (43'), Darling (79')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Lincoln
4-0
MK Dons
Johnson (48', 53', 59' pen.), Fisher (73' og.)
Poole (14'), Johnson (20')

Laird (39'), Kasumu (66'), Darling (72'), Harvie (87'), Lewington (90+5')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Lincoln
Mason (58')
Harvie (25'), Houghton (45+3'), Cargill (64'), Brittain (69'), Kasumu (73')
Grant (11' pen.), Hopper (78')
Jones (54'), Morton (69'), Eyoma (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148


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