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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Stevenage

Port Vale
2 - 2
Stevenage

Vancooten (6' og.), Ojo (90+8' pen.)
Lowe (28'), Mighten (82'), Sang (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reid (52'), Vancooten (58')
Piergianni (33'), Forster-Caskey (36'), MacGillivray (90+3'), Butler (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Reading
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-2 Stevenage

Despite being edged out by Reading in midweek, Stevenage will fancy their chances of claiming all three points after winning their last two away matches. We think that the visitors will ultimately prove too strong for a Port Vale side who have lost four of their previous five games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawStevenage
28.97% (0.693 0.69) 25.74% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 45.3% (-0.733 -0.73)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.32 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.211 0.21)51.09% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06% (0.184 0.18)72.94% (-0.184 -0.18)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.63 0.63)32.01% (-0.63 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.713 0.71)68.48% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.249 -0.25)22.51% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.372 -0.37)56.08% (0.372 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 28.97%
    Stevenage 45.29%
    Draw 25.74%
Port ValeDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.67% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.65% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.055 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 28.97%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.01% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.98% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 45.29%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Stevenage

Port Vale
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stevenage
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round Replays
Port Vale
3-3
Stevenage
Stevenage win 4-3 on penalties
Garrity (6', 55'), Loft (114')
Iacovitti (69'), Ripley (90'), Garrity (106')
White (81'), Hemmings (90+6'), Thompson (119')
Thompson (50'), Thompson (50')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-1
Port Vale
Reid (69')
Ashby-Hammond (64'), Reid (80'), Piergianni (81'), Wildin (90+3')
Ojo (76' pen.)
Loft (78'), Ikpeazu (81'), Lowe (90+6')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Stevenage
0-0
Port Vale
Roberts (34'), Thompson (50'), Smith (80')
Arblaster (29'), Smith (38'), Balmer (45')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Port Vale
2-0
Stevenage
O'Neill (6' og.), Edmondson (12')
Walker (2')

Upson (87')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stevenage
1-1
Port Vale
Norris (33')
Rodney (20')
Smith (13'), Wilson (30'), Walker (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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