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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Stevenage |
28.97% ( 0.69) | 25.74% ( 0.04) | 45.3% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 52.68% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.91% ( 0.21) | 51.09% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.06% ( 0.18) | 72.94% ( -0.18) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% ( 0.63) | 32.01% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% ( 0.71) | 68.48% ( -0.71) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.25) | 22.51% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.92% ( -0.37) | 56.08% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |