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Portsmouth
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Bishop (45+3' pen.)
Saydee (69'), Scully (90+2'), Sparkes (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Earl (63')
Johnson (0'), Dolan (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portsmouth 2-0 Fleetwood Town

Portsmouth may have suffered a disappointing defeat in the EFL Trophy in midweek, but they have been in imperious form in the third tier. After winning each of their last four league games without conceding, we think that they will get the better of a struggling Fleetwood side in their final home fixture of the calendar year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
57.38% (-0.555 -0.56) 21.84% (0.242 0.24) 20.78% (0.315 0.31)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (-0.671 -0.67)41.58% (0.676 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (-0.681 -0.68)63.98% (0.685 0.69)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (-0.393 -0.39)14.27% (0.396 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-0.774 -0.77)42.06% (0.777 0.78)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)33.74% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)70.4% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 57.38%
    Fleetwood Town 20.78%
    Draw 21.83%
PortsmouthDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.151 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.055 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.065 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.23% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 20.78%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Fleetwood

Portsmouth
93.3%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Fleetwood
0-2
Portsmouth
Bishop (43'), Pigott (83')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
3-3
Fleetwood
Curtis (45' pen.), Harness (80'), O'Brien (90+5')
Curtis (50')
Pilkington (7'), Biggins (15'), Lane (41')
Lane (57'), Cairns (73'), Harrison (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Fleetwood
0-1
Portsmouth
Brown (60')
Brown (24'), Curtis (43'), Freeman (63')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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