We said: Fleetwood Town 1-2 Stevenage
Following a woeful start to the season under Brown, Fleetwood have enjoyed a marked improvement in recent matches, but the visit of Stevenage will be their toughest test in a while.
Boro are displaying attacking quality and defensive solidity in equal measure so far this term, and we are expecting Evans's side to record another maximum this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.