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League One | Gameweek 13
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Portsmouth

Northampton
0 - 3
Portsmouth


Bowie (47')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Raggett (11'), Lane (26', 48')
Norris (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth will be looking to claim all three points to help in their promotion fight, but we think that they may be held to a draw by Saturday's hosts, who are unbeaten in four home league games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawPortsmouth
29.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 26.74% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 43.67% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (-0.302 -0.3)54.79% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (-0.249 -0.25)76.1% (0.252 0.25)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)33.48% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.113 -0.11)70.12% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.212 -0.21)24.91% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.46% (-0.298 -0.3)59.53% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 29.59%
    Portsmouth 43.67%
    Draw 26.74%
Northampton TownDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.59%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.59% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.67%

How you voted: Northampton vs Portsmouth

Northampton Town
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Portsmouth
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Northampton
4-1
Portsmouth
Watson (20', 23'), Horsfall (32'), Hoskins (43')
Miller (85'), Mitchell (88')
Harrison (73' pen.)
Marquis (34')
Oct 27, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Portsmouth
4-0
Northampton
Marquis (39', 47'), Curtis (50'), Harness (83')
Williams (57'), Harness (60')

Bolger (43')
Dec 3, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 32
Portsmouth
2-1
Northampton
Maloney (39'), Harness (62')
Bolton (43')
Harriman (12')
Martin (43'), Harriman (76')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Northampton
Kennedy (41'), Hawkins (45', 48')
Pitman (42'), Kennedy (90')
Long (36')
McGugan (45')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Northampton
3-1
Portsmouth
Long (18', 70'), Crooks (35')
Clarke (42'), Lowe (62')
Kennedy (49')
Thompson (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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