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League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Cambridge United

Reading
4 - 0
Cambridge

Smith (11'), Azeez (45+2'), Wing (62'), Ehibhaimha (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennett (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-1 Cambridge United

This should be a fiercely-contested affair given that both sides are level on points just above the relegation zone, but Reading boast slightly better form than their opponents. Cambridge will almost certainly perform much better than when they were beaten by six goals against in-form Lincoln in midweek, but we are backing the hosts to gain a crucial victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCambridge United
61.97% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.1% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)38.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)75.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Reading 61.95%
    Cambridge United 17.1%
    Draw 20.93%
ReadingDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.45%
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.93%
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Reading vs Cambridge

Reading
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cambridge United
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
1-0
Reading
Okenabirhie (83')
Morrison (65')

Dean (27'), Hutchinson (68'), Yiadom (70'), Savage (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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