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League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Cambridge United

Reading
4 - 0
Cambridge

Smith (11'), Azeez (45+2'), Wing (62'), Ehibhaimha (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennett (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Reading and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 2-1 Reading
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 6-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Reading 2-1 Cambridge United

This should be a fiercely-contested affair given that both sides are level on points just above the relegation zone, but Reading boast slightly better form than their opponents. Cambridge will almost certainly perform much better than when they were beaten by six goals against in-form Lincoln in midweek, but we are backing the hosts to gain a crucial victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCambridge United
61.97% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 20.93% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.1% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.17% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.39% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)40.31% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.015999999999998 0.02)38.63% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)75.37% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Reading 61.95%
    Cambridge United 17.1%
    Draw 20.93%
ReadingDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 10.45%
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 61.95%
1-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.93%
0-1 @ 4.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 17.1%

How you voted: Reading vs Cambridge

Reading
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Cambridge United
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Cambridge
1-0
Reading
Okenabirhie (83')
Morrison (65')

Dean (27'), Hutchinson (68'), Yiadom (70'), Savage (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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