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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
52.24% ( 0.06) | 24.32% ( -0.01) | 23.43% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.26% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.67% ( -0.02) | 49.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.62% ( -0.01) | 71.38% ( 0.02) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.15% ( 0.02) | 18.85% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.69% ( 0.03) | 50.31% ( -0.03) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.39% ( -0.06) | 35.6% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.63% ( -0.06) | 72.37% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |