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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
51.65% ( -0.21) | 24.17% ( 0.06) | 24.18% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.04% ( -0.11) | 47.96% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.87% ( -0.1) | 70.13% ( 0.1) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( -0.12) | 18.56% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.19% ( -0.2) | 49.81% ( 0.21) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.82% ( 0.08) | 34.18% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.13% ( 0.08) | 70.87% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 24.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 57 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 52 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |