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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 13
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Exeter


Evans (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Exeter City

With both teams struggling for confidence, we think that Tuesday's encounter could prove to be a cagey contest, where the two sides may have to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
51.65% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21) 24.17% (0.061 0.06) 24.18% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.106 -0.11)47.96% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)70.13% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.119 -0.12)18.56% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (-0.203 -0.2)49.81% (0.209 0.21)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (0.076999999999998 0.08)34.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (0.081 0.08)70.87% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 51.65%
    Exeter City 24.18%
    Draw 24.16%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.18%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
52.9%
Draw
29.4%
Exeter City
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Exeter
Hoole (10')
Brown (24')
Grounds (90')
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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