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League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
The DW Stadium
Burton Albion

Wigan
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Hughes (43' og.)
Smith (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brayford (54')
Gilligan (75'), Hamer (90+4'), Powell (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 2-0 Burton Albion

 Wigan have won each of their last three home games, and we think that they will extend that winning run against a Burton side that will be low on confidence following four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
46.75% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 27.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.92% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)58.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.7% (0.038 0.04)79.29% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (0.044999999999987 0.04)25.17% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (0.064 0.06)59.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)38.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 46.75%
    Burton Albion 25.92%
    Draw 27.32%
Wigan AthleticDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 13.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 25.92%

How you voted: Wigan vs Burton Albion

Wigan Athletic
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Burton Albion
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Burton Albion
2-1
Wigan
Powell (68', 84' pen.)
Lubala (22'), Gordon (26'), Bennett (90+3')
Lubala (89')
Hughes (44')
Adeeko (21'), Clare (57'), Humphrys (88')
> Preview
Apr 12, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 40
Burton Albion
0-0
Wigan
Mancienne (35'), Niasse (59'), Kokolo (79')
Watts (17'), Power (79'), Kerr (82')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Wigan
2-0
Burton Albion
McClean (9'), Tilt (51')
Darikwa (36'), Bayliss (39')

Hamer (57')
Smith (15')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Wigan
1-1
Burton Albion
Keane (37')
Powell (16')
Powell (12')
Dec 29, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
3-4
Wigan
O'Toole (13'), Brayford (25'), Hemmings (72')
Joseph (19', 28', 73'), Keane (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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