Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.