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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Harrogate
2 - 1
Accrington

Muldoon (63'), Thomson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nolan (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Accrington Stanley

Harrogate have been far from convincing on home turf, but Accrington have also struggled on their travels this term. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawAccrington Stanley
37.09% (-1.674 -1.67) 24.06% (-0.345 -0.34) 38.85% (2.018 2.02)
Both teams to score 61.22% (1.298 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (1.676 1.68)41.18% (-1.678 -1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (1.685 1.69)63.57% (-1.686 -1.69)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)22.19% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.152 -0.15)55.6% (0.151 0.15)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (1.766 1.77)21.31% (-1.767 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (2.66 2.66)54.26% (-2.662 -2.66)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 37.09%
    Accrington Stanley 38.85%
    Draw 24.05%
Harrogate TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.237 -0.24)
1-0 @ 7.12% (-0.579 -0.58)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.09%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.156 0.16)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.369 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.232 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.17 0.17)
1-3 @ 4.38% (0.34 0.34)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.246 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.233 0.23)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.212 0.21)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.156 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.85%

Head to Head
Oct 10, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Harrogate
3-5
Accrington
Folarin (35', 76'), Mattock (58')
Trickett (27', 89'), Adedoyin (30', 37', 51')
Shipley (61'), Bagueloc'rich (74')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Accrington
2-1
Harrogate
McConville (28'), Nolan (90+8')
Bagueloc'rich (3'), McConville (46'), Quirk (71'), Coyle (87'), Conneely (90+7')
Quirk (82')
Burrell (83')
Folarin (27'), Daly (34'), Mattock (45'), Falkingham (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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