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Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Morecambe

Accrington
1 - 2
Morecambe

Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Morecambe

 Both sides are heading into this game off the back of a really disappointing run of results in the league, and we expect the two teams to fail in their search for victory in this one. Three of the past five meetings between these two sides have ended in a share of the spoils, and we expect this to become the fourth draw in six matches between the two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
44.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.16% (0.096 0.1) 30.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.02% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.445 -0.45)43.29% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (-0.439 -0.44)65.69% (0.438 0.44)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.214 -0.21)19.43% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (-0.352 -0.35)51.26% (0.351 0.35)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.229 -0.23)26.75% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-0.301 -0.3)62.03% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 44.97%
    Morecambe 30.87%
    Draw 24.15%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.87%

How you voted: Accrington vs Morecambe

Accrington Stanley
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Morecambe
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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