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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
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Crawley Town
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Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
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Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
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Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Morecambe

Accrington
1 - 2
Morecambe

Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Morecambe

Both sides are heading into this game off the back of a really disappointing run of results in the league, and we expect the two teams to fail in their search for victory in this one. Three of the past five meetings between these two sides have ended in a share of the spoils, and we expect this to become the fourth draw in six matches between the two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
44.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.16% (0.096 0.1) 30.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.02% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.445 -0.45)43.29% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (-0.439 -0.44)65.69% (0.438 0.44)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.214 -0.21)19.43% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (-0.352 -0.35)51.26% (0.351 0.35)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.229 -0.23)26.75% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-0.301 -0.3)62.03% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 44.97%
    Morecambe 30.87%
    Draw 24.15%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.87%

How you voted: Accrington vs Morecambe

Accrington Stanley
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Morecambe
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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