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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Mansfield
2 - 1
Accrington

Maris (2'), Quinn (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leigh (85')
Hills (35'), Coyle (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley

While Mansfield Town has suffered a drop-off in form of late, they will be backing themselves against a floundering Accrington side who have managed just one win in their last nine outings. That said, we are backing Clough's men to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
69.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 17.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 13.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)8.66% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)37.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.56%
    Accrington Stanley 13.27%
    Draw 17.17%
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.77%
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 2.33%
5-2 @ 1.14%
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 69.56%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.17%
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 13.27%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Accrington

Mansfield Town
97.2%
Draw
2.8%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
36
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Accrington
0-3
Mansfield

Bagueloc'rich (6')
Keillor-Dunn (29'), Maris (35'), Lewis (75')
Maris (47')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
6-1
Accrington
Walker (9' pen., 13' pen., 45'), Khan (16'), Rose (66'), Hamilton (90')
Mellis (28'), Benning (41')
Finley (6')
Conneely (26'), Mingoia (29'), Platt (45')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Mansfield
4-4
Accrington
Bennett (31'), White (45'), Coulthirst (64'), Arquin (89')
MacDonald (27'), Byrom (42'), Bennett (51'), Collins (85')
Beckles (5'), McCartan (28'), Kee (43', 66')
McCartan (18'), Donacien (22'), Pearson (33'), Beckles (61'), Conneelly (62'), Kee (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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