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Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Mansfield
2 - 1
Accrington

Maris (2'), Quinn (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leigh (85')
Hills (35'), Coyle (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley

While Mansfield Town has suffered a drop-off in form of late, they will be backing themselves against a floundering Accrington side who have managed just one win in their last nine outings. That said, we are backing Clough's men to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
69.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 17.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 13.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)8.66% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)37.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.56%
    Accrington Stanley 13.27%
    Draw 17.17%
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.77%
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 2.33%
5-2 @ 1.14%
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 69.56%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.17%
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 13.27%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Accrington

Mansfield Town
97.2%
Draw
2.8%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
36
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Accrington
0-3
Mansfield

Bagueloc'rich (6')
Keillor-Dunn (29'), Maris (35'), Lewis (75')
Maris (47')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
6-1
Accrington
Walker (9' pen., 13' pen., 45'), Khan (16'), Rose (66'), Hamilton (90')
Mellis (28'), Benning (41')
Finley (6')
Conneely (26'), Mingoia (29'), Platt (45')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Mansfield
4-4
Accrington
Bennett (31'), White (45'), Coulthirst (64'), Arquin (89')
MacDonald (27'), Byrom (42'), Bennett (51'), Collins (85')
Beckles (5'), McCartan (28'), Kee (43', 66')
McCartan (18'), Donacien (22'), Pearson (33'), Beckles (61'), Conneelly (62'), Kee (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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