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Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Mansfield
2 - 1
Accrington

Maris (2'), Quinn (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leigh (85')
Hills (35'), Coyle (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley

While Mansfield Town has suffered a drop-off in form of late, they will be backing themselves against a floundering Accrington side who have managed just one win in their last nine outings. That said, we are backing Clough's men to come away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
69.56% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 17.17% (0.0030000000000001 0) 13.27% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)8.66% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)37.52% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.56%
    Accrington Stanley 13.27%
    Draw 17.17%
Mansfield TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 7.95%
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 7.77%
4-0 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 3.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.33%
5-1 @ 2.33%
5-2 @ 1.14%
6-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 69.56%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.17%
1-2 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 13.27%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Accrington

Mansfield Town
97.2%
Draw
2.8%
Accrington Stanley
0.0%
36
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Accrington
0-3
Mansfield

Bagueloc'rich (6')
Keillor-Dunn (29'), Maris (35'), Lewis (75')
Maris (47')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
6-1
Accrington
Walker (9' pen., 13' pen., 45'), Khan (16'), Rose (66'), Hamilton (90')
Mellis (28'), Benning (41')
Finley (6')
Conneely (26'), Mingoia (29'), Platt (45')
Mar 30, 2018 3pm
Aug 19, 2017 3pm
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Mansfield
4-4
Accrington
Bennett (31'), White (45'), Coulthirst (64'), Arquin (89')
MacDonald (27'), Byrom (42'), Bennett (51'), Collins (85')
Beckles (5'), McCartan (28'), Kee (43', 66')
McCartan (18'), Donacien (22'), Pearson (33'), Beckles (61'), Conneelly (62'), Kee (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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