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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Accrington Stanley

Newport
1 - 3
Accrington

Morris (13')
Bondswell (45'), Bondswell (90+8'), Jameson (90+8')
Lewis (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Henderson (22'), Leigh (46'), Pritchard (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Newport
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Newport County 1-1 Accrington Stanley

 The form of both Newport and Accrington is that of two sides with only pride at stake between now and the end of the season, so the shackles could either come off or the two sides will choose to expend little energy in Tuesday's bottom-half showdown. The latter scenario is not beyond the realm of possibility due to the limited recovery time, and we cannot pick a clear winner between the two outfits on this occasion, so an uneventful stalemate could be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
46.77% (0.07 0.07) 23.73% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 29.49% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.18% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81% (0.068000000000005 0.07)49.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.02% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)62.38% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 46.77%
    Accrington Stanley 29.49%
    Draw 23.73%
Newport CountyDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 6.11%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.49%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Accrington
3-0
Newport
Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
> Preview
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Newport
Wilks (88')
Nouble (48')
Tozer (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917
> League Two Full Table


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