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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Crawley Town |
44.55% ( 0.58) | 25.84% ( -0.15) | 29.61% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.79% ( 0.42) | 51.21% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.95% ( 0.37) | 73.05% ( -0.36) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( 0.46) | 22.92% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% ( 0.67) | 56.68% ( -0.66) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.4% ( -0.09) | 31.61% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% ( -0.11) | 68.01% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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