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Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Crawley Town

Barrow
1 - 0
Crawley

Telford (46')
Acauah (58'), Proctor (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (18'), Maguire (47'), Wright (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-0 Crawley Town

Barrow have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three leagues games, gaining five points from those fixtures, and we can envisage a similar scenario against Crawley on Saturday. Both teams have punched above their weight so far this season, but with Telford likely to be extremely motivated against his former employers, we expect the hosts to keep their winning streak going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
44.55% (0.584 0.58) 25.84% (-0.151 -0.15) 29.61% (-0.427 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79% (0.422 0.42)51.21% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (0.369 0.37)73.05% (-0.361 -0.36)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.46299999999999 0.46)22.92% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.672 0.67)56.68% (-0.665 -0.66)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)31.61% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.108 -0.11)68.01% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 44.55%
    Crawley Town 29.61%
    Draw 25.84%
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs Crawley

Barrow
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Crawley Town
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barrow
4-0
Crawley
Gordon (18', 47', 55' pen.), Garner (81')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Nadesan (6')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Appiah (57')

Kay (64'), Rooney (68'), Platt (86')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Barrow
0-1
Crawley

Banks (27'), Brough (66')
Tilley (56')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Barrow
3-2
Crawley
Davies (10'), Quigley (36' pen.), Taylor (90+6')
Beadling (90+2')
Francomb (31'), Powell (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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