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Championship header 2

League Two
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Crawley Town

Barrow
1 - 0
Crawley

Telford (46')
Acauah (58'), Proctor (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (18'), Maguire (47'), Wright (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-0 Crawley Town

 Barrow have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three leagues games, gaining five points from those fixtures, and we can envisage a similar scenario against Crawley on Saturday. Both teams have punched above their weight so far this season, but with Telford likely to be extremely motivated against his former employers, we expect the hosts to keep their winning streak going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
44.55% (0.584 0.58) 25.84% (-0.151 -0.15) 29.61% (-0.427 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79% (0.422 0.42)51.21% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (0.369 0.37)73.05% (-0.361 -0.36)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.46299999999999 0.46)22.92% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.672 0.67)56.68% (-0.665 -0.66)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)31.61% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.108 -0.11)68.01% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 44.55%
    Crawley Town 29.61%
    Draw 25.84%
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs Crawley

Barrow
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Crawley Town
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barrow
4-0
Crawley
Gordon (18', 47', 55' pen.), Garner (81')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Nadesan (6')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Appiah (57')

Kay (64'), Rooney (68'), Platt (86')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Barrow
0-1
Crawley

Banks (27'), Brough (66')
Tilley (56')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Barrow
3-2
Crawley
Davies (10'), Quigley (36' pen.), Taylor (90+6')
Beadling (90+2')
Francomb (31'), Powell (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall22154341192249
2AFC Wimbledon22114733181537
3Notts County22107535241137
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster2310763227537
5Port Vale2310762724337
6Grimsby Town23121103334-137
7Salford City2210662619736
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe229942619736
9Chesterfield2397737271034
10Bradford CityBradford229762824434
11MK Dons219483429531
12Bromley2271053126531
13Gillingham2293102221130
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham238693436-230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2251252623327
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood216962726127
17BarrowBarrow227692122-127
18Newport CountyNewport2275102938-926
19Tranmere RoversTranmere215791630-1422
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2364131935-1622
21Swindon TownSwindon2349102837-921
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2147102738-1119
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2246121734-1718
24Morecambe2345142039-1917
> League Two Full Table


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