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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
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Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Crawley Town

Barrow
1 - 0
Crawley

Telford (46')
Acauah (58'), Proctor (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (18'), Maguire (47'), Wright (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-0 Crawley Town

Barrow have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three leagues games, gaining five points from those fixtures, and we can envisage a similar scenario against Crawley on Saturday. Both teams have punched above their weight so far this season, but with Telford likely to be extremely motivated against his former employers, we expect the hosts to keep their winning streak going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
44.55% (0.584 0.58) 25.84% (-0.151 -0.15) 29.61% (-0.427 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79% (0.422 0.42)51.21% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (0.369 0.37)73.05% (-0.361 -0.36)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.46299999999999 0.46)22.92% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.672 0.67)56.68% (-0.665 -0.66)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)31.61% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.108 -0.11)68.01% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 44.55%
    Crawley Town 29.61%
    Draw 25.84%
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs Crawley

Barrow
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Crawley Town
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barrow
4-0
Crawley
Gordon (18', 47', 55' pen.), Garner (81')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Nadesan (6')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Appiah (57')

Kay (64'), Rooney (68'), Platt (86')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Barrow
0-1
Crawley

Banks (27'), Brough (66')
Tilley (56')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Barrow
3-2
Crawley
Davies (10'), Quigley (36' pen.), Taylor (90+6')
Beadling (90+2')
Francomb (31'), Powell (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622


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