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Championship header 2

League Two
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Barrow

Forest Green
0 - 2
Barrow


Omotoye (58'), Robson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Foley (4'), Telford (18')
Ray (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 5-0 Colchester
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Barrow

 Forest Green were excellent against Colchester last time out, and if they can find a similar performance here, it is likely to be too much for Barrow. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, or indeed a Barrow win, but we just have a feeling that the hosts will edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBarrow
33.89% (-0.539 -0.54) 26.01% (-0.258 -0.26) 40.09% (0.794 0.79)
Both teams to score 53.86% (0.735 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.991 0.99)50.5% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (0.867 0.87)72.43% (-0.869 -0.87)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.14500000000001 0.15)28.36% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.184 0.18)64.1% (-0.185 -0.19)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.873 0.87)24.82% (-0.875 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (1.201 1.2)59.4% (-1.203 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.9%
    Barrow 40.09%
    Draw 26.01%
Forest Green RoversDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.322 -0.32)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.125 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 4% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.108 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.088 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 40.09%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Barrow

Forest Green Rovers
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Barrow
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Barrow
4-0
Forest Green
Grayson (5'), Rooney (38'), Platt (53'), Amadi-Holloway (90+2')
Gotts (43'), Gordon (70'), Amadi-Holloway (74')

Cadden (28'), March (36'), Adams (75')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Forest Green
2-0
Barrow
Stevens (61', 83')

Kay (28'), Brough (57')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Forest Green
0-2
Barrow

Cargill (45+1'), Adams (48'), Stokes (51'), Bernard (76')
Quigley (18' pen.), Thomas (25')
Beadling (72')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Barrow
2-2
Forest Green
James (73'), Angus (82' pen.)
Taylor (71')
Whitehouse (52'), Cadden (90+6')
Moore-Taylor (62'), Kitching (87')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Barrow
2-3
Forest Green
Bennett (33'), Hannah (88')
Harvey (22'), Livesey (23'), Bennett (43'), Hannah (75'), Rowe (88')
Noble (6'), Doidge (64'), Marsh-Brown (94')
Ellis (23'), Cooper (76'), Wishart (85'), Noble (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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