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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
37.83% ( -0.08) | 24.82% ( -0.01) | 37.35% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 58.44% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.21% ( 0.04) | 44.79% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.85% ( 0.04) | 67.15% ( -0.03) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.57% ( -0.02) | 23.43% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.57% ( -0.04) | 57.43% ( 0.04) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% ( 0.06) | 23.68% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.21% ( 0.09) | 57.79% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |