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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Crawley Town

Forest Green
2 - 1
Crawley

Morton (26', 45+2')
Dabo (4'), Maddox (67'), Welch (69'), Moore-Taylor (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Darcy (6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crawley
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
37.83% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 24.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 37.35% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)44.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (0.036999999999999 0.04)67.15% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)23.43% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)57.43% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)23.68% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09)57.79% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 37.83%
    Crawley Town 37.35%
    Draw 24.81%
Forest Green RoversDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 37.83%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.35%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Crawley
2-1
Forest Green
Nadesan (24'), Tunnicliffe (32')
Craig (30'), Francomb (72'), Powell (77'), Morris (85')
Bernard (80')
Sweeney (90'), Adams (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Forest Green
6-3
Crawley
Cadden (1', 67', 69'), Stevens (24'), Matt (48'), Young (78')
Adams (59')
Hessenthaler (14', 30'), Appiah (86')
Craig (27'), Appiah (90')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Crawley
0-0
Forest Green
McNerney (49'), Wright (65')
Stokes (56')
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 21
Forest Green
1-2
Crawley
Young (50')
Nichols (16', 79')
Craig (61'), Davies (90+3')
Jan 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 26
Crawley
1-1
Forest Green
Lubala (45')
Tunnicliffe (63' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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