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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Stevenage |
33.34% ( -0.59) | 28.73% ( 0.1) | 37.93% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 45.47% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.98% ( -0.42) | 61.02% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.99% ( -0.31) | 81.01% ( 0.32) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.95% ( -0.62) | 34.05% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.27% ( -0.68) | 70.73% ( 0.68) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% ( 0.09) | 31.06% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.62% ( 0.1) | 67.38% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.34% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |