Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
