Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.