Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.