MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:02:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Morecambe

Newport
5 - 3
Morecambe

Wildig (12', 54'), Lewis (18'), Charsley (78'), Palmer-Houlden (90+7')
Wildig (33'), Evans (40'), Jameson (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Edwards (31', 74'), Stokes (70')
Tutonda (23')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
43.72% (-0.321 -0.32) 24.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 31.89% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)43.87% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)66.25% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-0.16 -0.16)20.2% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (-0.257 -0.26)52.51% (0.254 0.25)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.15600000000001 0.16)26.39% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (0.211 0.21)61.54% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 43.72%
    Morecambe 31.89%
    Draw 24.37%
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-2
Newport
Mellon (12')
Major (90+6')
Evans (28'), Palmer-Houlden (57')
Bennett (85')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Morecambe
1-0
Newport
Wildig (68')
Wootton (12')
May 31, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-3
Newport
Songo'o (20')
Lavelle (38')
Dolan (8' pen.), Sheehan (45+1'), Ellison (79')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
2-1
Morecambe
Amond (11'), Dolan (83' pen.)
Mendes Gomes (32')
Davis (30'), Hendrie (34'), Phillips (68')
Hendrie (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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