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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Morecambe

Newport
5 - 3
Morecambe

Wildig (12', 54'), Lewis (18'), Charsley (78'), Palmer-Houlden (90+7')
Wildig (33'), Evans (40'), Jameson (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Edwards (31', 74'), Stokes (70')
Tutonda (23')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
43.72% (-0.321 -0.32) 24.38% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 31.89% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)43.87% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)66.25% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (-0.16 -0.16)20.2% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.48% (-0.257 -0.26)52.51% (0.254 0.25)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (0.15600000000001 0.16)26.39% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (0.211 0.21)61.54% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 43.72%
    Morecambe 31.89%
    Draw 24.37%
Newport CountyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.36% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.89%

Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-2
Newport
Mellon (12')
Major (90+6')
Evans (28'), Palmer-Houlden (57')
Bennett (85')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Morecambe
1-0
Newport
Wildig (68')
Wootton (12')
May 31, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-3
Newport
Songo'o (20')
Lavelle (38')
Dolan (8' pen.), Sheehan (45+1'), Ellison (79')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
2-1
Morecambe
Amond (11'), Dolan (83' pen.)
Mendes Gomes (32')
Davis (30'), Hendrie (34'), Phillips (68')
Hendrie (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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