Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stockport County in this match.