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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Colchester
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Akinde (51' pen.)
Chambers (11'), Tovide (36'), Akinde (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davison (67'), Chislett (89')
Currie (23'), Tzanev (51'), (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Colchester United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Colchester United 1-2 AFC Wimbledon

At the risk of plying their trade outside of the Football League for the first time since 1992, former Colchester City player Johnnie Jackson could once again return to haunt his former employers, as Wimbledon take another step towards an immediate return to League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AFC Wimbledon in this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
42.8% (0.153 0.15) 27.42% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 29.78% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.07% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (-0.16 -0.16)57.24% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.91% (-0.129 -0.13)78.09% (0.13 0.13)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)61.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (-0.218 -0.22)34.63% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (-0.231 -0.23)71.35% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 42.8%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.78%
    Draw 27.42%
Colchester UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 12.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 29.78%

How you voted: Colchester vs AFC Wimbledon

Colchester United
30.0%
Draw
10.0%
AFC Wimbledon
60.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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