League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Harrogate0 - 1Crewe
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Crewe Alexandra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Mansfield
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-2 Stockport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
27.21% ( -0.08) | 22.57% ( 0.01) | 50.22% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.09% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0.09) | 38.11% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.62% ( -0.1) | 60.38% ( 0.1) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.1) | 26.58% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.2% ( -0.13) | 61.8% ( 0.14) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% ( -0.01) | 15.43% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.74% ( -0.02) | 44.26% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town 27.21%
Crewe Alexandra 50.22%
Draw 22.56%
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.21% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.22% |
Form Guide
