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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Morecambe

Crewe
1 - 0
Morecambe

Hemmings (43' pen.)
Tracey (9'), Williams (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Songo'o (71'), Angol (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Morecambe

 Morecambe's confidence will have been lifted by their win over Wigan, but there is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough start to the season. We are backing Morecambe to score their first league goal of the campaign on Saturday, but Crewe should have enough to emerge victorious on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMorecambe
41.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 25.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 32.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)48.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)70.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)56.96% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 41.63%
    Morecambe 32.9%
    Draw 25.47%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.9%

How you voted: Crewe vs Morecambe

Crewe Alexandra
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Morecambe
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Morecambe
0-1
Crewe

Songo'o (90+5')
Nevitt (70')
Leigh (89')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Crewe
2-3
Morecambe
Nevitt (18'), Tracey (49')
Adebisi (25'), Demetriou (58')
Adams (69'), Slew (74'), Rawson (83')
Stokes (58'), Senior (68'), Hiwula (72')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Morecambe
1-2
Crewe
Leigh (36')
Porter (52'), Murphy (58')
Adebisi (42'), Murphy (59')
> Preview
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
1-3
Morecambe
Mandron (49')
Phillips (8'), Gnahoua (28', 85')
Cooney (40'), McLoughlin (79'), Stockton (80')
> Preview
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-1
Crewe
Wildig (68')
Wildig (55')
Phillips (90')
Ng (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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