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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Morecambe

Crewe
1 - 0
Morecambe

Hemmings (43' pen.)
Tracey (9'), Williams (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Songo'o (71'), Angol (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Morecambe

 Morecambe's confidence will have been lifted by their win over Wigan, but there is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough start to the season. We are backing Morecambe to score their first league goal of the campaign on Saturday, but Crewe should have enough to emerge victorious on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMorecambe
41.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 25.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 32.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)48.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)70.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)56.96% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 41.63%
    Morecambe 32.9%
    Draw 25.47%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.9%

How you voted: Crewe vs Morecambe

Crewe Alexandra
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Morecambe
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Morecambe
0-1
Crewe

Songo'o (90+5')
Nevitt (70')
Leigh (89')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Crewe
2-3
Morecambe
Nevitt (18'), Tracey (49')
Adebisi (25'), Demetriou (58')
Adams (69'), Slew (74'), Rawson (83')
Stokes (58'), Senior (68'), Hiwula (72')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Morecambe
1-2
Crewe
Leigh (36')
Porter (52'), Murphy (58')
Adebisi (42'), Murphy (59')
> Preview
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
1-3
Morecambe
Mandron (49')
Phillips (8'), Gnahoua (28', 85')
Cooney (40'), McLoughlin (79'), Stockton (80')
> Preview
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-1
Crewe
Wildig (68')
Wildig (55')
Phillips (90')
Ng (47')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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