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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Morecambe

Crewe
1 - 0
Morecambe

Hemmings (43' pen.)
Tracey (9'), Williams (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Songo'o (71'), Angol (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Blackpool 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Morecambe

 Morecambe's confidence will have been lifted by their win over Wigan, but there is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough start to the season. We are backing Morecambe to score their first league goal of the campaign on Saturday, but Crewe should have enough to emerge victorious on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMorecambe
41.63% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 25.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 32.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.39% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)48.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)70.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.1% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)56.96% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 41.63%
    Morecambe 32.9%
    Draw 25.47%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.9%

How you voted: Crewe vs Morecambe

Crewe Alexandra
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Morecambe
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Morecambe
0-1
Crewe

Songo'o (90+5')
Nevitt (70')
Leigh (89')
> Preview
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Crewe
2-3
Morecambe
Nevitt (18'), Tracey (49')
Adebisi (25'), Demetriou (58')
Adams (69'), Slew (74'), Rawson (83')
Stokes (58'), Senior (68'), Hiwula (72')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Morecambe
1-2
Crewe
Leigh (36')
Porter (52'), Murphy (58')
Adebisi (42'), Murphy (59')
> Preview
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Crewe
1-3
Morecambe
Mandron (49')
Phillips (8'), Gnahoua (28', 85')
Cooney (40'), McLoughlin (79'), Stockton (80')
> Preview
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Morecambe
1-1
Crewe
Wildig (68')
Wildig (55')
Phillips (90')
Ng (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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