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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
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Harrogate Town
MK Dons
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Newport County
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Walsall
Morecambe
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Morecambe
1 - 2
Forest Green

Brown (30')
Rawson (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
McCann (38'), McAllister (44')
Dabo (17'), McAllister (82'), Bernard (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Forest Green Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Forest Green
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawForest Green Rovers
47.84% (-0.148 -0.15) 24.97% (0.041 0.04) 27.19% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)48.95% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)71.04% (0.083000000000013 0.08)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)20.5% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02% (-0.156 -0.16)52.98% (0.159 0.16)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)32.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (0.045999999999999 0.05)68.74% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 47.83%
    Forest Green Rovers 27.19%
    Draw 24.96%
MorecambeDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.83%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.19%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Forest Green
1-2
Morecambe
Omotoye (84')
Inniss (12'), Brown (23'), Robson (45+1')
Mellon (26'), Slew (48')
Love (5'), Bedeau (90+4')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Forest Green
1-2
Morecambe
Wickham (30')
Phillips (44'), Rawson (90+3')
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 35
Forest Green
2-2
Morecambe
Collins (10'), Matt (79')
Stokes (23'), Bernard (38')
Stockton (22'), Mendes Gomes (90+4')
O'Sullivan (38'), Gibson (45+4')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 8
Morecambe
1-2
Forest Green
Leitch-Smith (19')
Lavelle (21'), Hendrie (64'), Wildig (74'), Knight-Percival (87')
Young (79'), Matt (83')
Godwin-Malife (74'), Matt (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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