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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 55.6%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Stockport County |
22.55% ( -0.1) | 21.85% ( -0.18) | 55.6% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.61% ( 0.75) | 39.39% ( -0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.27% ( 0.78) | 61.73% ( -0.78) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.1% ( 0.33) | 30.89% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% ( 0.38) | 67.18% ( -0.39) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.9% ( 0.34) | 14.1% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.28% ( 0.67) | 41.72% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Stockport County |
2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 22.55% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 6.41% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.32% Total : 55.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |