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Carlisle United
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Crewe Alexandra
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Salford City
League Two | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Peninsula Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Salford City
4 - 2
Crewe

Smith (45+3', 58'), Watson (71'), Berkoe (90')
Ingram (35'), Watt (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baker-Richardson (27', 90+3')
Baker-Richardson (38'), O'Riordan (59')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Salford City and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Salford CityDrawCrewe Alexandra
37.17% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37.66% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.15% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (0.019000000000005 0.02)46.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.73% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (0.0020000000000095 0)24.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99%59.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)58.64% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 37.17%
    Crewe Alexandra 37.66%
    Draw 25.17%
Salford CityDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97%
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 5.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.66%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Crewe
4-3
Salford City
Agyei (31' pen., 90'), Tabiner (40'), O'Riordan (87')
Barry (19'), Hendry (45'), Mallan (85')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Salford City
3-0
Crewe
McAleny (17'), Thomas-Asante (50', 53')
Nartey (14'), Watt (44')

Mellor (29'), Baker-Richardson (90+2')
Sambou (31')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Salford City
3-1
Crewe
Towell (7'), Thomas-Asante (12'), Wintle (85' og.)
Jones (14'), Neal (40'), Touray (44')
Ng (82')
Powell (45')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 10
Crewe
4-1
Salford City
Porter (50'), Lowery (57', 82'), Pickering (62')
Rooney (39')
Hughes (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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