Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.