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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
55.04% ( -0) | 23.27% ( 0.01) | 21.69% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.36% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.22% ( -0.05) | 46.78% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.96% ( -0.05) | 69.04% ( 0.05) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.14% ( -0.02) | 16.86% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.12% ( -0.04) | 46.88% ( 0.04) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.19% ( -0.04) | 35.81% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.41% ( -0.04) | 72.59% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 55.04% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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