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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Doncaster Rovers.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
47.48% ( 0.01) | 25.08% ( -0.01) | 27.43% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.67% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.71% ( 0.03) | 49.29% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.65% ( 0.02) | 71.35% ( -0.03) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% ( 0.02) | 20.79% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.56% ( 0.03) | 53.44% ( -0.03) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( 0.01) | 32.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% ( 0.01) | 68.73% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.48% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
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