Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 67.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 12.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.