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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
37.16% ( 0.07) | 25.78% ( 0.09) | 37.07% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 55.02% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( -0.39) | 49.18% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.76% ( -0.35) | 71.24% ( 0.35) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.2% ( -0.14) | 25.8% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.25% ( -0.2) | 60.75% ( 0.2) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% ( -0.27) | 25.85% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.18% ( -0.36) | 60.82% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |