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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 29.11% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.37%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
46.61% ( 1.05) | 24.27% ( -0) | 29.11% ( -1.04) |
Both teams to score 57.57% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.28% ( -0.56) | 44.72% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.91% ( -0.54) | 67.08% ( 0.54) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.68% ( 0.22) | 19.31% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.92% ( 0.35) | 51.07% ( -0.35) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( -0.99) | 28.64% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.54% ( -1.25) | 64.45% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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