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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
17.54% ( -0.01) | 20.27% ( -0.02) | 62.19% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.6% ( 0.06) | 39.39% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.27% ( 0.06) | 61.73% ( -0.06) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% ( 0.02) | 35.85% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% ( 0.02) | 72.62% ( -0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.84% ( 0.02) | 12.15% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.23% ( 0.05) | 37.76% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.55% Total : 17.54% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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